Performance Snapshot
Every pick we've published, scored against the actual result. No cherry-picking, no recency bias — 871,780 graded predictions at 56.4% accuracy.
Moneyline
51.8%
9,680–9,020 · 18,944 graded
Picking the outright winner.
Spread
55.9%
10,562–8,344 · 18,977 graded
Beating the point spread.
Over / Under
48.7%
8,942–9,420 · 18,989 graded
Total points over or under.
Player Props
56.7%
461,529–352,886 · 814,870 graded
Yes/no on a player stat.
Moneyline
44.0%
91–116 · 207 graded
Spread
50.5%
105–103 · 208 graded
Over / Under
56.0%
116–91 · 208 graded
Player Props
53.6%
12,873–11,163 · 24,107 graded
When the model says 70%, it hits ~70%. That's what “calibrated” means — and why our edge isn't an accident.
The numbers above are the headline. Inside, you get the picks themselves — plus the breakdowns that show where to deploy them.
Moneyline
51.5%
9,360–8,820 · 18,413 graded
Spread
55.8%
10,234–8,109 · 18,409 graded
Over / Under
48.6%
8,647–9,145 · 18,413 graded
Player Props
56.8%
448,656–341,723 · 790,763 graded