Performance Snapshot
Every pick we've published, scored against the actual result. No cherry-picking, no recency bias — 1,540,630 graded predictions at 58.1% accuracy.
Moneyline
56.3%
17,390–13,510 · 30,924 graded
Picking the outright winner.
Spread
54.5%
16,975–14,186 · 31,396 graded
Beating the point spread.
Over / Under
50.1%
15,404–15,319 · 31,624 graded
Total points over or under.
Player Props
58.4%
844,813–601,116 · 1,446,686 graded
Yes/no on a player stat.
Moneyline
51.9%
224–208 · 432 graded
Spread
54.9%
237–195 · 432 graded
Over / Under
50.5%
218–214 · 432 graded
Player Props
When the model says 70%, it hits ~70%. That's what “calibrated” means — and why our edge isn't an accident.
The numbers above are the headline. Inside, you get the picks themselves — plus the breakdowns that show where to deploy them.
100.0%
1–0 · 1 graded
Moneyline
52.5%
11,949–10,825 · 22,774 graded
Spread
55.7%
12,628–10,063 · 22,766 graded
Over / Under
49.8%
10,936–11,022 · 22,773 graded
Player Props
56.9%
593,302–448,757 · 1,042,538 graded