Performance Snapshot
Every pick we've published, scored against the actual result. No cherry-picking, no recency bias — 434,329 graded predictions at 57.2% accuracy.
Moneyline
48.6%
5,037–5,328 · 10,546 graded
Picking the outright winner.
Spread
56.5%
5,930–4,570 · 10,543 graded
Beating the point spread.
Over / Under
48.6%
4,960–5,237 · 10,547 graded
Total points over or under.
Player Props
57.6%
231,815–170,596 · 402,693 graded
Yes/no on a player stat.
Moneyline
44.0%
91–116 · 207 graded
Spread
50.5%
105–103 · 208 graded
Over / Under
56.0%
116–91 · 208 graded
Player Props
53.6%
12,873–11,163 · 24,107 graded
When the model says 70%, it hits ~70%. That's what “calibrated” means — and why our edge isn't an accident.
The numbers above are the headline. Inside, you get the picks themselves — plus the breakdowns that show where to deploy them.
Moneyline
48.7%
4,946–5,212 · 10,339 graded
Spread
56.6%
5,825–4,467 · 10,335 graded
Over / Under
48.5%
4,844–5,146 · 10,339 graded
Player Props
57.9%
218,942–159,433 · 378,586 graded